This room is designed to be a bit different than #breakroom. Essentially the #breakroom is for anything off topic and more of a casual channel. The #coffee-and-tea-room is usually where we put amusing sub related things.
the duality of ape. If you are an unknown mod, you're sus and a plant cause noon'e has ever heard of you. If you're a known mod, it means you are too known and should go back to being an unnamed internet janitor (and also sus).
Unfortunately... I have to warn you that any association with the mod team will cast suspicion on some of you by some of the people on the sub. The insurance against that was the bend over backwards open and transparent casting call and the intent to make this a rotating position. Even still, sorry that you're facing that sort of attack. It's not fun.
(We know)(edited)
My neighbor is building new front steps in his office clothes
1:57 PM
Gonna ruin those khakis man
3
luma44
Unfortunately... I have to warn you that any association with the mod
team will cast suspicion on some of you by some of the people on the
sub. The insurance against that was the bend over backwards
open and transparent casting call and the intent to make this a rotating
position. Even still, sorry that you're facing that sort of attack.
It's not fun.
(We know) (edited)
I have to ask the question... is there a tea room channel on the superstonk mod discord? And if so, how long has it existed?
5:08 PM
Maybe I should have asked on the ask a mod channel, and maybe started with it, that's a much easier question, almost like "what is your favorite color"
Diznavis
I have to ask the question... is there a tea room channel on the superstonk mod discord? And if so, how long has it existed?
i asked because of the tea room on the jungle discord, i suddenly realized that pink may have borrowed the name from the superstonk mod discord from when she was a mod.
It has been rebuilt at least once, though at the time, there were so few of us active, a lot of the old things got copy/pasted into new places, or reused somehow because they were basic ideas that didn't need to be changed or trashed
7:41 PM
The tea room came into existence, if I recall, due to @Platinumsparkles or maybe it was goldie making a request
7:41 PM
It did not exist until close to the end of my mod service, so what, summer of 2022? In there
7:42 PM
I'm happy to answer other questions about the mod team in the before times
100%
Nothing beats the vibe a coffee house provides. I absolutely love that atmosphere
Nice rainy cozy weather, relaxing music, warm cup of coffee.
Moass kicks off, I'll be opening/ investing in a small coffee house.
Caffeine & Ketamine
100%
Nothing beats the vibe a coffee house provides. I absolutely love that atmosphere
Nice rainy cozy weather, relaxing music, warm cup of coffee.
Moass kicks off, I'll be opening/ investing in a small coffee house.
I feel like that architecture is pretty much status quo for a coffee house.
Hipsters get a bad wrap but they know how to make a chill atmosphere.
I'm biased though, I've dated a couple hipster coffee house people
Apparently Byron is going/planning to go on a call with them despite a prominent mod cautioning against, so thatās probably the āwhyā, donāt think the guy knows what heās getting into
That feeling when a piece of yours that you've worked on tirelessly for 9 nights is outperformed by a factor of over 3 by a meme that took you only several hours (posted by your alt because it was not meaningful enough to meet your quality standards)...
They are prepping for that full year profitability. RC has figured out how to stop the bleeding. Long as new initiatives are profitable we keep adding to the success.
So Iām not saying that angle isnāt helpful esp. in discourse online, but it is 100% really my favourite colour too
Iām not in the US though, but I also donāt fit squarely into any political camp tbh. I am closer to Libertarian, but wouldnāt describe myself as one, if that helps lmao
I think government needs to be more socialist approach when it comes to healthcare & education.
12:15 PM
I think clean energy source like cold fusion is needed for humans to survive. Earth will be fine, it will just take a long ass recovery break from sustaining human life. Maybe a 100K years later, life will flourish once again.
Iām not sure anyone other than you can really say
I will say though if youāre interested in clean and abundant energy, thorium and LFTR is fascinating. If you have a mind for science, the chemistry is beautifulā¦ Iāve been known to get on my soap box about it tho so Iāma stop here
I will definitely take a look. Fossil fuel addiction needs to end.
Now give another 30 years or so, there will be fresh water shortages. That's another big issue waiting. But that's just me āāļø
I have friends who joke tongue-in-cheek about the upcoming 'climate wars' - who knows if it gets that bad, I do think it's a tad hyperbolic, but I understand where it's coming from. I am a strong believer that we can heal through the application technology in the long run though
For example, I mentioned LFTR. Without getting into the specifics, think safe nuclear. No high pressures to cause explosions, self-regulating reaction, foolproof failsafe, no byproducts suitable for military application
^ That in mind, the desalinization of water takes up a lot of energy. So keep the infrastructure for fresh water supply close to the abundant and safe energy-from-a-waste-product (thorium), and you can offset the fresh water crisis at least to a degree. This is just one piece to the puzzle I know. We also need to invest more into vertical farming, and stop using up swathes of land for monocrops. Grow up, not out!
LFTR is a huge missed opportunity. Nixon handicapped it and then Three MIle Island killed public trust in any nuclear, and its a huge undertaking to get some Karen off the street to understand that molten salt reactors and pressurized salt reactors are as different as steam locomotives and modern diesel locomotives.
Unfortunately I don't think we'll see more investment in molten salt reactors. The argument has shifted from just "nuclear bad!" to "why bother with bad nuclear when solar and wind are so cheap?" completely ignoring renewable capacity factor, grid base load, and power storage
I believe QVbot won't post links (or anything else) that are forbidden by our automod. You see that the tweet link has "PP" in it... I'd bet on it potentially being that.
Lyrad (Crybad)
It has something to do with the bot not accepting the input from the user
It's funny I thought it was the reverse. When I read, I was under the impression that they said the bot was cowardly, because it was a Twitter link in the context of this line:
"If this is from Twitter, and Twitter is NOT the original source of this information, this WILL get removed!".
That would mean that they contend that Twitter isn't the original source, but that's a matter of perspective on the raw documents vs Dr. T's comments of the documents. Both perspectives would be kind of valid I think.
6:44 PM
But maybe, I'm comepletly wrong in my guess. Who knows haha
stonkyagraha
It's funny I thought it was the reverse. When I read, I was under the
impression that they said the bot was cowardly, because it was a Twitter
link in the context of this line:
"If this is from Twitter, and Twitter is NOT the original source of this
information, this WILL get removed!".
That would mean that they contend that Twitter isn't the original
source, but that's a matter of perspective on the raw documents vs Dr.
T's comments of the documents. Both perspectives would be kind of valid I
think.
I would say we need new bot masters. But then I'd also say trusting new people for bot masters should not be taken lightly and we shouldn't trust new bot masters. God this shit is complicated. lol
I would say we need new bot masters. But then I'd also say trusting new
people for bot masters should not be taken lightly and we shouldn't
trust new bot masters. God this shit is complicated. lol
How so? I haven't seen him compliment AA or say it's a good purchase. Shame how most of his work around unifying basket communities is dismissed as grifting and PR. I don't think RC would keep giving someone like that all the twitter attention tbh.
In fact it reads to me like he's buying in to get more clout for holding AA accountable, so I think I'll reserve judgement on if he's a bad actor until he visibly stops those efforts and we see them being buddy buddy.
I think that's a fair take.
I can definitely see why you'd say it's not complementing AA, but I can't read this in any way other than advocating a purchase, at least long-term. He at least owns that it's not a short term move.
He has to know this is going to get bandwagoners going. Which isn't his fault, do your own DD and research.
I'm less anti-him, and more just frustrated with having to deal with the people putting him on a pedestal.
Lairian -Flairy Type-
I can definitely see why you'd say it's not complementing AA, but I
can't read this in any way other than advocating a purchase, at least
long-term. He at least owns that it's not a short term move.
He has to know this is going to get bandwagoners going. Which isn't his
fault, do your own DD and research.
I'm less anti-him, and more just frustrated with having to deal with the
people putting him on a pedestal.
I could see it as advocating for one on the condition the company starts listening to it's shareholders, which really is a big problem they have right now. He really should label it an activist play is that's the intent, his messaging certainly gets muddy.
The pedestal stuff is old, I think we all have that opinion to some extent. In my own case with Pulte I tire greatly with the lack of forethought regarding optics.
Ok. So, this has absolutely zero to do with pulte, but mm options positioning does offer evidence that amc might rip tomorrow.
nearly 1900% daily increase in mm long puts
200% daily increase in mm short calls
these factors (among other positioning) means the mm hedging requirement starts becoming very strong buy pressure thatās gets stronger the higher the price goes.
there has also been bullish divergence on daily and weekly time frames (red/blue in 3rd pic). So if there was ever a set up pointing at a stock putting in a larger timeframe bottomā¦.this points to it.
Hereās the big HOWEVER though. The rip wouldnāt be a short squeeze. Itād be the effect of mm hedging requirements and as soon as those start getting sold youād see the price fall hard
What I get out of it is an attempt to get retail to follow him in with the intent to hold long term (so they can't use that money against the hedgies)
TiberiusWoodwind
Ok. So, this has absolutely zero to do with pulte, but mm options positioning does offer evidence that amc might rip tomorrow.
nearly 1900% daily increase in mm long puts
200% daily increase in mm short calls
these
factors (among other positioning) means the mm hedging requirement
starts becoming very strong buy pressure thatās gets stronger the higher
the price goes.
there has also been bullish divergence on
daily and weekly time frames (red/blue in 3rd pic). So if there was ever
a set up pointing at a stock putting in a larger timeframe bottomā¦.this
points to it.
Hereās the big HOWEVER though. The rip wouldnāt be a short squeeze. Itād
be the effect of mm hedging requirements and as soon as those start
getting sold youād see the price fall hard
Yes. Iām a bit annoyed that the analysis suggests he found a good bottom. If ever there was conditions for their price to recover a bit (and Iām not talking some rip to $40, I mean like $10ish) this is the spot. Because they canāt dilute again til next earnings and something like that would absolutely wreck this happening.
TiberiusWoodwind
Yes. Iām a bit annoyed that the analysis suggests he found a good
bottom. If ever there was conditions for their price to recover a bit
(and Iām not talking some rip to $40, I mean like $10ish) this is the
spot. Because they canāt dilute again til next earnings and something
like that would absolutely wreck this happening.
And hereās another tough bit. This was it today using the smaller timeframe moving averages. It rejected at the hourly. Just staring at this, Iād look and think āhey downward movement will likely continue.ā And because the bottom side of the hedging heat map pic I sent is heavy red on bottom half, if price does start dropping then the selling pressure becomes stronger and itād be falling fast, again, due to mm hedging requirements.
LastResortFriend
I could see it as advocating for one on the condition the company
starts listening to it's shareholders, which really is a big problem
they have right now. He really should label it an activist play is
that's the intent, his messaging certainly gets muddy.
The pedestal stuff is old, I think we all have that opinion to some
extent. In my own case with Pulte I tire greatly with the lack of
forethought regarding optics.
Idk. If it were literally any other ticker this would seem a pretty cut/dry make a small yolo in a deep otm call. But itās amc and I tend to believe a lot of that supportive options positioning will evaporate quickly once people make some profit so even if there is a run folks will see it deflate incredibly quickly.
1
7:24 PM
Or the flip, itāll start dropping tomorrow since hedging requirements are already strong on either side.
@LastResortFriend hereās the fun bit when you can see mm option positioningā¦it means whatever narrative people cook up on why movement happens you know it wasnāt that. Whatever amount of shares pulte buys, that amount really isnāt what gets the price to wherever it goes. If it rips because the longer time frame structure points to a bottom being in we know hedging requirements launched it. If it drops because short term structure had a recent rejection we know hedging requirements did this too.
TiberiusWoodwind
@LastResortFriend
hereās the fun bit when you can see mm option positioningā¦it means
whatever narrative people cook up on why movement happens you know it
wasnāt that. Whatever amount of shares pulte buys, that amount really
isnāt what gets the price to wherever it goes. If it rips because the
longer time frame structure points to a bottom being in we know hedging
requirements launched it. If it drops because short term structure had a
recent rejection we know hedging requirements did this too.
Pultes āhold longā strategy kinda makes sense considering that big view I gave. Because yes, it might drop some more but those momentum trends suggest the dip is slowing down. The challenge is amc is up to its neck in debt, it will need to continue diluting, and hodlers have good reason to want to kick AA in the balls for shitty leadership. After all that dilution, if it manages to stay open thereās no chance of it ever seeing a moass type event.
7:44 PM
If I was gonna do something nuts on this, Iād buy relatively short dated otm calls and set a very very close stop loss. If it bangs, woo. If it shits its pants then walk away before it gets worse.
I hold off an saying any stock is incapable of having a MOASS event. Mainly because of all the hidden swap data. If any are weighted down at all with GME swaps, depending on the aggregate types of swaps between them, they may well lift off with GME. Nothing else will ever launch as hard as GME though so MOASS plays on them don't seem as good an idea.
Good thoughts on the way to play out the AMC short term. (edited)
LastResortFriend
I hold off an saying any stock is incapable of having a MOASS event.
Mainly because of all the hidden swap data. If any are weighted down at
all with GME swaps, depending on the aggregate types of swaps between
them, they may well lift off with GME. Nothing else will ever launch as
hard as GME though so MOASS plays on them don't seem as good an idea.
Good thoughts on the way to play out the AMC short term. (edited)
Dilution. Go back to pre-sneeze time and look at the size of the amc float then look at how many share offerings theyāve done. I havenāt done the math in like a year or so but I want to say itās close to like 15x bigger now after accounting for all conversion and RS stuff. If there ever had been some inescapable trapā¦.the door got left wide open to leave. Even as far back as a year ago in all likelihood a short couldāve been closing in profit and the APE conversion was the greatest short arbitrage play ever, literally risk free profitable shorting with an immediate close.
@LastResortFriend just to point out another spot, hereās amc right before they mooned in June ā21. Weekly (blue) and monthly (purple) moving average and velocity trends. That was peak hysteria and options gambling time. Not a surprise run out of nowhere, but a crossing of moving averages signaling traders to buy in. It peaked and then for months afterward the velocity trends continue to move down along with price which suggests the movement will continue. With no bullish momentum indication it really doesnāt matter if retail was buying or not because nothing is overcoming the force of traders passing off their bags/selling contracts, the company diluting, and regular shorters shorting. In Jan 2022 the price fell below purple (monthly ma) and in the next 6 months it was rejected twice from crossing above it. Since then itās continued dropping like a stone (conveniently lining up with APE being created). And as of today, it would require AMC to run over 750% and maintain that for probably about 8 months to get a cross like that again signaling traders to rush in. Thatās how far off they are from that mark.
Now ask me, how close is GME?
TiberiusWoodwind
@LastResortFriend
just to point out another spot, hereās amc right before they mooned in
June ā21. Weekly (blue) and monthly (purple) moving average and velocity
trends. That was peak hysteria and options gambling time. Not a
surprise run out of nowhere, but a crossing of moving averages signaling
traders to buy in. It peaked and then for months afterward the velocity
trends continue to move down along with price which suggests the
movement will continue. With no bullish momentum indication it really
doesnāt matter if retail was buying or not because nothing is overcoming
the force of traders passing off their bags/selling contracts, the
company diluting, and regular shorters shorting. In Jan 2022 the price
fell below purple (monthly ma) and in the next 6 months it was rejected
twice from crossing above it. Since then itās continued dropping like a
stone (conveniently lining up with APE being created). And as of today,
it would require AMC to run over 750% and maintain that for probably
about 8 months to get a cross like that again signaling traders to rush
in. Thatās how far off they are from that mark.
Now ask me, how close is GME?
@LastResortFriend
just to point out another spot, hereās amc right before they mooned in
June ā21. Weekly (blue) and monthly (purple) moving average and velocity
trends. That was peak hysteria and options gambling time. Not a
surprise run out of nowhere, but a crossing of moving averages signaling
traders to buy in. It peaked and then for months afterward the velocity
trends continue to move down along with price which suggests the
movement will continue. With no bullish momentum indication it really
doesnāt matter if retail was buying or not because nothing is overcoming
the force of traders passing off their bags/selling contracts, the
company diluting, and regular shorters shorting. In Jan 2022 the price
fell below purple (monthly ma) and in the next 6 months it was rejected
twice from crossing above it. Since then itās continued dropping like a
stone (conveniently lining up with APE being created). And as of today,
it would require AMC to run over 750% and maintain that for probably
about 8 months to get a cross like that again signaling traders to rush
in. Thatās how far off they are from that mark.
Now ask me, how close is GME?
Yes. Because at current pace it would take until about January 2026 for that monthly moving average to get down to where amc is now. 2 years of the stock hanging out around $8 and thatās assuming more rounds of dilution donāt keep dragging it further
After some consideration, I think thereās potential this pulte thing might have a desirable outcome. The last sentence of Pulteās tweet, what happens if AA does not respond to him?
Given how many people went all-in even after RC open lettered "you need to do this" and then pulled out when they didn't?
I'm prepared to be disappointed by how many stay in even if AA doesn't give the appearance of listening.
Oh that doesnāt matter. AA will retire because heās done sucking out wealth from the company. Good luck finding any execs who want to stick around or join a company who canāt turn a profit, wonāt be allowed to dilute, and suddenly has a bunch of shareholders who think execs shouldnāt get a paycheck and should be stakeholders. So not only does this nonsense end sooner, but pulte might get left a bag holder as a reward for white knighting. I love that combo